Re: [NMusers] Combined residual model and IWRES.

From: varun goel <varun_goel_9_at_yahoo.com>
Date: Thu, 14 Feb 2008 15:06:51 -0800 (PST)

Dear Paul,
 
 You can use the delta method to compute the variance and expected value of a transformation, which is square in your case.
 
 given y=theta^2
 
 
 E(y)=theta^2
 Var(y)=Var(theta)+(2*theta)^2 ; the later portion is square of the first derivative of y with respect of theta.
 
 In your example theta is the standard deviation whereas error estimate is variance. I did not follow your values very well, so I ran a model with same reparameterization and got following results.
 
 theta=2.65, rse=27.2%
 err=7.04; rse=54.4%
 
 theta.1<-2.65
 rse<-27.2
 var.theta.1<-(rse*theta.1/100)^2 ## = 0.51955
 
 err.1<-7.04
 rse.err.1<-54.4#%
 var.err.1<-(rse.err.1*err.1/100)^2 ## = 14.66
 
 ##now from delta method
  
 E(err)=2.65^2 ## 7.025 close to 7.04
 var(err)=(2*2.65)^2*0.51955 ## 14.59 close to 14.66
 
 Hope it helps
 
 Varun Goel
 PhD Candidate, Pharmacometrics
 Experimental and Clinical Pharmacology
 University of Minnesota

Paul Westwood <pwestwood02_at_qub.ac.uk> wrote: Dear All,

I'm working on a one-compartment iv model. I have used a model for the
IWRES from a discussion from May 2001 (thanks to Mats Karlsson, Niclas
Jonsson and Nick Holford), where you use thetas to obtain the sigmas when
using a combined residual model:

IPRED=F
IRES=DV-IPRED
IWRES=(DV-IPRED)/SQRT(F*F*THETA(3)*THETA(3)+THETA(4)*THETA(4))
Y=F*(1+THETA(3)*ERR(1))+THETA(4)*ERR(2).

where you then fix the sigmas to 1. I obtained the following results for a
particular base model:

ETA = 3.16 28.1 0.0804 0.163
ETASD = 1.23693 1.42478
ERRSD = 1 1
THETA:se% = 23.9 32.0 39.9 23.3
OMEGA:se% = 18.4 33.8
SIGMA:se% = 0.0 0.0

I then ran the same model but using the normal code in the $ERROR section
to see if there was any difference in the final estimates:

IPRED=F
IRES=DV-IPRED
Y=F*(1+ERR(1))+ERR(2)

and obtained these results:

THETA = 3.16 28.1
ETASD = 1.23693 1.42478
ERRSD = 0.0803741 0.163095
THETA:se% = 23.5 32.0
OMEGA:se% = 18.5 33.9
SIGMA:se% = 79.3 45.9

Here are few questions: 1.Can anyone tell me why the standard errors for
the thetas in model 1 and the standard errors for the sigmas in model 2
differ so significantly? 2.Why does the algorithm used to obtain the
standard errors for the sigmas differ so much from that used to obtain
standard errors for the thetas, and how? 3.What are the implications when
then using INTERACTION? 4....and finally, which model should i use?

Thankyou in advance for any light that can be shed.

Best,

Paul Westwood.


       
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Received on Thu Feb 14 2008 - 18:06:51 EST

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